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10/14/2005: "Astrodome'd"


So far the Cardinals and Astros have split the Intangible Scrap Derby 1-1; yesterday the Astros made all the sharp plays and timely non-hits that ESPN has decided are the key to the Cardinals' success. Of course, as much as I like the team to play smart, I think this illustration is probably more telling with regards to what the Stros need to ape:

Average OBP, starting Astros not named Morgan or Lance: .315. When you've got Ensberg and Berkman bunched together--right after non-luminaries Biggio and Tavarez, no less--the seven stressless outs that follow tend to stop the momentum of your offense.

So they've got one on guile, the Cardinals have one on guile and offense. Let's see who the better team actually is. It would have been nice to take both of the first games at Busch, because of the considerable home-field advantage some of the Astros hitters have, but I'm sure the Cardinals hitters will figure it out, too. (Eckstein in particular seems like he could hit 20 Biggio-esque home runs playing his home games at Minute Maid.)

Certainly can't blame Mulder for the proceedings; some games the offense just doesn't come all at once. Maybe in some alternate universe there are people on base when Molina hit his two doubles, or he fields that passed ball and the Cardinals keep it together, or Roy Oswalt's arm falls off fielding a bunt. Regardless, it's just a game. They lost three of them against the Astros last year, and that Astros team didn't have an outfield with a high OBP of .316.

Replies: 41 Comments

on Friday, October 14th, travis said

The astro are going to take the next three games and win the series.



on Friday, October 14th, Dan's Mom said

I don't think so. The Cardinals have had their way with the Astros the entire season. What if poor Andy's leg hurts. When the Cardinals win the media,( when they cover us) always blame it on an injury. Can't we just have been the better team that night?



on Friday, October 14th, Julie said

I know it's going to be a hard and competitive series - but I don't even hear the fat lady warming up yet folks!

It's not over yet and Houston is not going to the WS yet. Last time I checked they still need to win 3 more - and from the 100 win Cardinals. Time will tell :)



on Sunday, October 16th, Mike said

I'm done 23 years of heartbreak is enough for me. I'm starting to think MLB has it rigged with umps against LAA and STL. STL has become a high priced stripper. Looks great but won't finish the job they started. I'm done with Baseball. Somebody email me if they ever get to a WS game 7



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